Saturday, 25 January 2014

England seek Six Nations redemption

ENGLAND led last year's Six Nations almost all the way through - until Wales prevailed easily in a final match showdown at the Millennium Stadium.

The motivation for England to win only a second Six Nations title since 2003 could therefore not be clearer.

But this year's competition begins with another tough trip for Stuart Lancaster's men - in Paris against a French side still licking their wounds from an awful 2013.

France finished bottom of the Six Nations table for the first time since its inception in 2000, and won just two matches in the whole calendar year.

It would be a surprise if Les Bleus were that bad again, though. Indeed, in keeping with their mercurial reputation, they could very well win the whole thing, particularly as this tournament is in the year following a Lions tour.

France have won all of the Five or Six Nations championships in the year after a Lions tour since the start of the professional era. Wales, in 1994, was the last time a Home Nation topped the table on the back of those particularly exertions.

And, as far as the bookmakers are concerned, the Welsh are also the most likely to end this statistical quirk in a genuinely golden era for union in the Principality.

Last year's record 30-3 thumping of England resulted in a second successive championship following a glorious third Grand Slam in eight years in 2012.

Notably, the other Grand Slams, in 2005 and 2008, were not followed up with victory in the following year's competition, showing just how difficult it can be to retain the title.

No team has won three Six Nations championships in a row, and the bookmakers may well be wrong given that the Welsh have two of their tougher tests away, at Twickenham and in Dublin.

Of all the sides competing, Ireland are maybe the most fascinating under their recently-appointed Kiwi coach Josef Schmidt.

In his first matches in the autumn, Ireland produced inconsistency in performance which would have befitted even the French as they followed up a wretched display in defeat to Australia with a magnificent one against New Zealand.

Ultimately, that would still end in an agonising 22-24 reverse, as Ryan Crotty's last-minute try and Aaron Cruden's conversion ensured the All Blacks would become the first team ever in the professional era to win all their matches in a calendar year.

But Ireland can take a lot of heart from those 80 minutes and much, it seems, will depend on what sort of momentum they can take to Twickenham from their home match against Wales on the second match-day.

This leaves Scotland and Italy, the only two countries not to have won the Six Nations since it began 14 years ago.

Both of them made decent progress last time, finishing third and fourth respectively, with two wins apiece, bringing an end to five consecutive years of the pair filling the bottom two. 

The aim then for the Scots and the Italians is also clear: to pull off those sort of results again. Otherwise, 2013 will be seen as no more than aberration.

And so, each of the six teams have plenty of motivation going into what always turns out to be a truly fascinating contest and a genuine highlight of the sporting calendar.

England have Wales at home - but, by then, they will have already travelled away to France and Scotland.

Wales will be aiming for a third championship in a row - but must head to Twickenham and Dublin, where the Irish players have a new coach to impress.

Meanwhile, France surely cannot do as badly as last year  - or perhaps they will, given the absence to injury of captain Thierry Dusautoir.

With just over 18 months to go until the World Cup, Scotland and Italy are unlikely to find the other four teams quite as generous this time.

And so my title tip has to be with England to edge out Wales with France in third, Ireland in fourth, and Italy returning to their traditional wooden spoon position.

Of course, the nature of the competition means that this prediction could be blown out of the water by week three, particularly with England travelling away twice.

Interestingly, none of the Six Nations tournaments has ended with the teams all finishing in exactly the same position in successive years.

Just what order will they shuffle into this time?

RBS 6 NATIONS TABLE 2013
How they finished last year. (T) Tries.


WDLFA(T)Pts
WALES4011226699
ENGLAND401947859
SCOTLAND2039810774
ITALY2037511154
IRELAND113728153
FRANCE113739163

TEAM-BY-TEAM GUIDE Odds from Ladbrokes
ENGLAND Odds 5/2
Coach Stuart Lancaster Captain Chris Robshaw
TwickenhamFixtures France (A), Scotland (A), Ireland (H), Wales (H), Italy (A)
IRB Rank: 4Six Nations titles 4 (2000, 2001, 2003, 2011)
FRANCE Odds 9/4Coach Philippe Saint-Andre Captain Pascal Papé (for Thierry Dusautoir)
Stade de FranceFixtures England (H), Italy (H), Wales (A), Scotland (A), Ireland (H)
IRB Rank: 5Six Nations titles 5 (2002, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2010)
IRELAND Odds 5/1
Coach Joe Schmidt Captain Paul O'Connell
Aviva StadiumFixtures Scotland (H), Wales (H), England (A), Italy (H), France (A)
IRB Rank: 7Six Nations titles 1 (2009)
ITALY Odds 200/1
Coach Jacques Brunel Captain Sergio Parisse
Stadio OlimpicoFixtures Wales (A), France (A), Scotland (H), Ireland (A), England (H)
IRB Rank: 13Six Nations titles None
SCOTLAND Odds 40/1Coach Scott Johnson (interim) Captain Kelly Brown
MurrayfieldFixtures Ireland (A), England (H), Italy (A), France (H), Wales (A)
IRB Rank: 9Six Nations titles None
WALES Odds 2/1favCoach Warren Gatland Captain Sam Warburton
Millennium StadiumFixtures Italy (H), Ireland (A), France (H), England (A), Scotland (H)
IRB Rank: 6Six Nations titles 4 (2005, 2008, 2012, 2013)

RBS 6 NATIONS FIXTURES 2014
All matches live on the BBC. All kick-off times GMT.

1 Feb 14:30WALES 23-15 ITALYMillennium Stadium
1 Feb 17:00FRANCE 26-24 ENGLANDStade de France
2 Feb 15:00IRELAND 28-6 SCOTLANDAviva Stadium
8 Feb 14:30IRELAND 26-3 WALESAviva Stadium
8 Feb 17:00SCOTLAND 0-20 ENGLANDMurrayfield
9 Feb 15:00FRANCE 30-10 ITALYStade de France
21 Feb 20:00WALES 27-6 FRANCEMillennium Stadium
22 Feb 13:30 ITALY 20-21 SCOTLANDStadio Olimpico
22 Feb 16:00ENGLAND 13-10 IRELANDTwickenham
8 Mar 14:30IRELAND 46-7 ITALYAviva Stadium
8 Mar 17:00SCOTLAND 17-19 FRANCEMurrayfield
9 Mar 15:00ENGLAND 29-18 WALESTwickenham
15 Mar 12:30ITALY 11-52 ENGLANDStadio Olimpico
15 Mar 14:45WALES v SCOTLANDMillennium Stadium
15 Mar 17:00FRANCE v IRELANDStade de France

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