Friday 4 May 2018

Labour left limited as Tories hold ground

SCOREBOARDCouncils+/-Seats+/-Share
Labour74-2350+77  35%
Conservative46-21332-3335%
Liberal Democrats9+4536+7516%
Independent--97--
Residents' Association--46-2-
Green--39+8-
UKIP--3-123-
Liberal--1-1-
No Overall Control21-2---

LABOUR struggled to make much headway on a mixed night for the two major parties in the English local elections held on Thursday.

Jeremy Corbyn's party gained a net total of 77 seats and took control of three more councils - but also lost control of three local authorities and failed to get near to taking many of its targets.

The Conservatives - as a governing party - had some unexpectedly bright results, taking Redditch directly from Labour as well as Barnet, Basildon, and Peterborough from no overall control.

However, the Tories lost control of Plymouth directly to Labour and lost three councils directly to the Liberal Democrats - including Kingston upon Thames and Richmond upon Thames in London.

Labour's own anticpated London surge never really materialised - there were gains in Wandsworth and four seats changed hands in Westminster.

But, in Hillingdon and in Barnet, Labour actually lost ground to the Conservatives - and, in Barnet, where there is a significant Jewish population, it was enough for the Tories to take control.

Prime Minister Theresa May thus emerged relatively unscathed in what was her first electoral test since her botched attempt to increase her majority in last year's early general election.

It did not seem to matter that, in the intervening 12 months, there have been no fewer than four major ministerial resignations with the most recent of them occurring less than a week ago.

Amber Rudd's decision to step down as Home Secretary over the Windrush scandal was not a surprise.

Indeed, it became inevitable once she had admitted to “inadvertently” misleading Parliament over the existence of deportation targets.

Out of all the resignations from this ramshackle government, however, the departure of Ms Rudd will have hit Mrs May hardest.

After all, many of the problems at the Home Office are historic in their nature and date back to when the current PM was Home Secretary herself.

Meanwhile, the Brexit negotiations continue to be a mess. As it stands, Britain is still no closer to knowing what relationship it will have with the customs union or indeed what will happen with the border in Ireland.

Time is running short. There are now just 328 days until Britain formally leaves the European Union on 29 March 2019 - although even this does not appear as black-and-white as it seems.

One thing which can be said for certain as a result of these elections - UKIP, having already achieved its aim of removing Britain from the EU, is now finished as a political force.

Four years ago, when the vast majority of these seats were last contested, UKIP was riding high and in fact took the most votes in the European elections held on the same day.

On Thursday, however, the Eurosceptic party took only three seats - including two in Derby - but it also lost 123 councillors, a year after having lost 145.

In a remarkable interview, the near-wipeout led Paul Oakley, the general secretary of UKIP, to liken the party to the Black Death, a pandemic which claimed millions of lives in the 14th century.

And there certainly can be no more definitive end than that.

Of course, the Conservatives have been the main beneficiaries of the collapse in the UKIP vote - but this is effectively just the right-wing of the Tory party returning to the fold.

Indeed, neither major political party seems able to break outside of its comfort zone.

For instance, there are still no Conservative councillors in Newcastle upon Tyne, Manchester, Liverpool, or Sheffield.

And, within the capital, Labour now holds all the seats in the boroughs of Barking and Dagenham, Lewisham, and Newham, and all-but-one of the councillors in Islington.

Outside of the big cities, though, Labour continues to struggle to break through.

There was little progress, if any, in the likes of Dudley, Swindon, Carlisle, or Walsall - and Mr Corbyn admitted he was "disappointed at any places where we lost a bit of ground".

But, if anything, Mrs May should be more worried. For, even with the support of the voters returning from UKIP, the Conservatives' lack of appeal in London and the big cities appears to leave them without a clear path to a majority.

It was quite appropriate that, after all the votes were counted, the national projected share of the vote calculated both parties to be sat on 35%.

Yes, these elections were the definition of political stalemate.
  
Results in full
Labour Conservatives Liberal Democrats No overall control
  
LONDON
Barking and DagenhamBarnetBexley
BrentBromleyCamden
CroydonEalingEnfield
GreenwichHackneyHammersmith and Fulham
HaringeyHarrowHavering
HillingdonHounslowIslington
Kensington and ChelseaKingston upon ThamesLambeth
LewishamMertonNewham
RedbridgeRichmond upon ThamesSouthwark
SuttonTower HamletsWaltham Forest
WandsworthWestminster
Note: Bolded areas show party has gained control

METROPOLITAN AND UNITARY COUNCILS
BarnsleyBirminghamBlackburn with Darwen
BoltonBradfordBury
CalderdaleCoventryDerby
DudleyGatesheadHalton
HartlepoolKingston upon HullKirklees
KnowsleyLeedsLiverpool
ManchesterMilton KeynesNewcastle upon Tyne
North East LincolnshireNorth TynesideOldham
PeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouth
ReadingRochdaleSt Helens
SalfordSandwellSefton
SheffieldSloughSolihull
SouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouth Tyneside
StockportSunderlandSwindon
TamesideThurrockTrafford
WakefieldWalsallWigan
WirralWokinghamWolverhampton
Note: Bolded areas show party has gained control

NON-METROPOLITAN DISTRICT COUNCILS
AdurAmber ValleyBasildon
Basingstoke and DeaneBrentwoodBroxbourne
BurnleyCambridgeCannock Chase
CarlisleCastle PointCheltenham
CherwellChorleyColchester
CravenCrawleyDaventry
EastleighElmbridgeEpping Forest
ExeterFarehamGosport
Great YarmouthHarlowHarrogate
HartHastingsHavant
HuntingdonshireHyndburnIpswich
LincolnMaidstoneMole Valley
Newcastle-under-LymeNorth HertfordshireNorwich
Nuneaton and BedworthOxfordPendle
PrestonRedditchReigate and Banstead
RochfordRossendaleRugby
RunnymedeRushmoorSt Albans
South CambridgeshireSouth LakelandStevenage
TamworthTandridgeThree Rivers
Tunbridge WellsWatfordWelwyn Hatfield
West LancashireWest OxfordshireWinchester
WokingWorcesterWorthing
Wyre Forest

Note: Bolded areas show party has gained control

MAYORAL ELECTIONS
HackneyLewishamNewham
South YorkshireTower HamletsWatford

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